Recession just around the corner?

teeroy

Active VIP Member
Joined
Oct 7, 2007
Messages
9,149
Reaction score
14,426
Location
Roma, Alberta
my friend's co did it the opposite way kinda, he sent out a letter with the last paycheque asking everyone he felt was worth keeping around to agree to certain conditions regarding their employment with the company....one being a reduction in wages....those that agreed to the conditions will stay employed. probably
 

Pinner

Active VIP Member
Joined
Jan 14, 2009
Messages
668
Reaction score
774
Location
B.C.
The rate cuts don't make a lot of sense - prob never will but is fuel and the vac truck or whatever dropped in price 15-25%?? Has the office staff at these oil companies taken a 15-25% paycheck cut??
I know I'm scared to see the fuel prices when oil starts going back up and when things pick back up are they going to let the rates rise 15-25% that they knocked you back??



Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk


Absolute blood bath in downtown Calgary...thousands of office jobs gone, thousands.
 

Absledder

Active VIP Member
Joined
Oct 29, 2013
Messages
758
Reaction score
679
Location
bonnyville
Not exactly sure how, when the oil price is SOOO low, and the gas prices are still so freakin high. SOMEONE is making money.

Thats great for refineries to buy it cheap and sell the products high. Nice if we had one of those here in alberta instead of shipping all our crude south but most of the oil companies here arent in the refining side, just producing.
 
  • Like
Reactions: mb1

pfi572

Active VIP Member
Joined
Mar 10, 2010
Messages
6,064
Reaction score
15,264
Location
Grande Prairie
They don't even produce 5% of the fuels we use.

I think you are way off base? Lol
If you think your correct could we see some documentation ?
Good friends ran the northern Shell bulk stations for years till they sold out a few years ago.
 

tater

Active VIP Member
Joined
Feb 4, 2009
Messages
488
Reaction score
737
Location
Okotoks
Not exactly sure how, when the oil price is SOOO low, and the gas prices are still so freakin high. SOMEONE is making money.

you are forgetting the exchange rate... Which helps the exporters! Betcha the mills in bc are busy!
 

Absledder

Active VIP Member
Joined
Oct 29, 2013
Messages
758
Reaction score
679
Location
bonnyville
heres the list of refineries in alberta from wikipedia:

[h=4][][/h]
  • , (), 187,000 bbl/d (29,700 m[SUP]3[/SUP]/d)
  • , (), 100,000 bbl/d (16,000 m[SUP]3[/SUP]/d)
  • (), 135,000 bbl/d (21,500 m[SUP]3[/SUP]/d). Formerly (before Aug 2009)
  • , Alberta Industrial Heartland (45 km NE of Edmonton), (North West Upgrading/Canadian Natural Upgrading). Phase 1: 50,000 bitumen bbl/d (7,900 bitumen m[SUP]3[/SUP]/d)


The company I work at puts out more than scotford and suncor could handle. And thats one company out of how many? The majority of our oil leaves AB unrefined.
 

freeflorider

Active VIP Member
Joined
Dec 17, 2011
Messages
2,804
Reaction score
8,756
Location
West koots
you are forgetting the exchange rate... Which helps the exporters! Betcha the mills in bc are busy!
Not that busy....rates are crap,mills are out of wood but no one wants to pay up to make it happen like when the oil market went up. Our bc gov and the fat cats that own the mills want to keep it all to themselfs. Down with the working man, it's everywhere bc and alb alike.
 

800HMX

Active VIP Member
Joined
Nov 18, 2007
Messages
274
Reaction score
451
Location
Alberta
heres the list of refineries in alberta from wikipedia:

[]


  • , (), 187,000 bbl/d (29,700 m[SUP]3[/SUP]/d)
  • , (), 100,000 bbl/d (16,000 m[SUP]3[/SUP]/d)
  • (), 135,000 bbl/d (21,500 m[SUP]3[/SUP]/d). Formerly (before Aug 2009)
  • , Alberta Industrial Heartland (45 km NE of Edmonton), (North West Upgrading/Canadian Natural Upgrading). Phase 1: 50,000 bitumen bbl/d (7,900 bitumen m[SUP]3[/SUP]/d)


The company I work at puts out more than scotford and suncor could handle. And thats one company out of how many? The majority of our oil leaves AB unrefined.

There has not been a new refinery in Canada in decades, just can't get public/regulatory support.....so the product gets shipped to refineries in the USA.
 

freeflorider

Active VIP Member
Joined
Dec 17, 2011
Messages
2,804
Reaction score
8,756
Location
West koots
heres the list of refineries in alberta from wikipedia:

[]


  • , (), 187,000 bbl/d (29,700 m[SUP]3[/SUP]/d)
  • , (), 100,000 bbl/d (16,000 m[SUP]3[/SUP]/d)
  • (), 135,000 bbl/d (21,500 m[SUP]3[/SUP]/d). Formerly (before Aug 2009)
  • , Alberta Industrial Heartland (45 km NE of Edmonton), (North West Upgrading/Canadian Natural Upgrading). Phase 1: 50,000 bitumen bbl/d (7,900 bitumen m[SUP]3[/SUP]/d)


The company I work at puts out more than scotford and suncor could handle. And thats one company out of how many? The majority of our oil leaves AB unrefined.

Why is it that we have the product and so many smart oil boys out there but know one wants to invest in refining? Seem like the right thing to do....NO?
 

800HMX

Active VIP Member
Joined
Nov 18, 2007
Messages
274
Reaction score
451
Location
Alberta
So at what point does this thread become recession just around the corner to recession is here. Buddy with hydrovac business said advertising for job on kijiji got 300 apps in one day, a year ago add would run for a week to get a days worth of interviews set up.

ps other buddy said just took a 15% wage cut, but still working.

Good point. Unfortunately we have barely scratched the surface. Clearly hurtful for those that have already been directly affected, however I don't think we will see the depth of this slow down until at least Q4 of this year or Q1 next year. We are in about month five of lower prices. We could easily see another 12 months before oil recovers to $70/bbl or before we see any real activity.
 
Last edited:

catalac

Active VIP Member
Joined
Nov 22, 2008
Messages
3,428
Reaction score
13,124
Location
Red Deer
Good point. Unfortunately we have barely scratched the surface. Clearly hurtful for those that have already been directly affected, however I don't think we will see the depth of this slow down until at least Q4 of this year or Q1 next year. We are in about month five of lower prices. We could easily see another 12 months before oil recovers to $70/bbl or before we see any real activity.
I think you are right, spoke with buddy today he said all the newfies who have been getting two way tickets in and out all got a one way ticket today.
 

Stompin Tom

Active VIP Member
Joined
Jun 7, 2009
Messages
3,787
Reaction score
8,138
Location
BC
Not that busy....rates are crap,mills are out of wood but no one wants to pay up to make it happen like when the oil market went up. Our bc gov and the fat cats that own the mills want to keep it all to themselfs. Down with the working man, it's everywhere bc and alb alike.
Up here in the central interior its balls to the wall, shortage of trucks and drivers, mill yards are low heading into breakup, going to busy as hell this summer as long as we dont burn down. Rates are at an all time high.
 

rebel

Active VIP Member
Joined
Aug 25, 2008
Messages
30,726
Reaction score
50,584
Location
JNP
There has not been a new refinery in Canada in decades, just can't get public/regulatory support.....so the product gets shipped to refineries in the USA.
Not a refinery guy so maybe talking out my @ss.
Most of the US refineries have switched so they can process our oil sands

Have heard its costly and time consuming to switch back. And it being cheaper to buy than domestic. Why switch.

Have heard it would be 10-20 years to build another refinery. (Although it would be good for our economy) Easier to put in pipe to fetch a higher price from the asian market.
Also energy east would be good as well for eastern refineries and hit the asian market by sea.
IMO Alberta should have been constructing a refinery or two when oil started to climb in 2001 from 9 buck a bbl. Should have been refining more raw product a long time ago.

Sent from my SGH-I547C using Tapatalk
 

Bnorth

Active VIP Member
Joined
Dec 18, 2010
Messages
10,771
Reaction score
20,797
Location
Salmon Arm
Up here in the central interior its balls to the wall, shortage of trucks and drivers, mill yards are low heading into breakup, going to busy as hell this summer as long as we dont burn down. Rates are at an all time high.
Southern interior is the same story, mill yards are healthier than up there though.
 

Stompin Tom

Active VIP Member
Joined
Jun 7, 2009
Messages
3,787
Reaction score
8,138
Location
BC
Southern interior is the same story, mill yards are healthier than up there though.
Winter was to warm, into breakup a good 3-4 weeks early, that has hurt the mill yards but will be good for the contractors, nothing better than a mill yard out of wood :)
 
Top Bottom