ABMax24
Active VIP Member
so this adds up to almost 2800 mw of new power output if my math is correct. a former colleague of mine is a plant manager at 16mw biofuel power plant and says there is over 2000 mw of power available right now that we don't use. even if things pick up we probably wont ever need that available power so if all these projects get built who will use it? we don't have the power lines to export it as BC and Saskatchewan already have excess and want to sell it to Alberta. there is some export to the states but they don't need 2800 mw more. what scares me is if the government agrees to pay way more for this new power, how is this better? I worked for Enbridge gas distribution a few years ago. they were building wind farms in Ontario as fast as they could because the liberal government at the time was signing contracts for 25-30cents per kwh when the pool or average price was 6 or 7. as soon as they stopped, they haven't built anything since because without being massively subsidized they would never break even let alone make money. I don't know about anyone else but I am sick and tired of being told I have to pay more for everything in the name of climate change.
While that is all true, on the coldest days of winter and the hottest days of summer it is common for every available powerplant in the province to be operating at capacity, during these time power prices spike and there is a risk the province may run out of electricity, often at these times large industrial users are asked to curtail demand to ensure grid stability. The other thing to remember is all coal power will be shut down in the province by 2030, a decision made by Harpers government in 2012, some of these plants will be switched to natural gas, but there will be room for more supply.
Energy prices are going to go up across Canada in the coming years due to the federal carbon tax, Alberta's electricity prices will be hit especially hard due to the heavy reliance on coal and natural gas to generate that electricity. My hope is that the projects listed above can actually help bring these costs down, because if renewable electricity is cost competitive at the current $40/tonne, it should be significantly cheaper at the $170/tonne we will see in 2030.
Also for those interested this website shows all powerplants in the province over 5MW, and shows the current usage, vs available capacity.
http://ets.aeso.ca/ets_web/ip/Market/Reports/CSDReportServlet