It time to put on your avy thinking cap. Most area have had a least one good dump of snow followed by some clear cold weather. What is happening to that early season snowpack and the ground beneath it? What is the ground like where you ride? Is it a grassy slope, boulder field maybe polished granite or shale slope, or maybe even a glacier. These will all make a difference on how the snow pack bonds to the ground What kind of layer is the next snowfall going to be sitting on.