EVs could cause 11% spike in Canadian electricity demand

Summitric

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[FONT=&quot] [/FONT]October 31, 2019 by Allan Janssen[FONT=&quot][/FONT][h=1]EVs could cause 11% spike in Canadian electricity demand[/h]


[FONT=&quot]Rapid adoption of electric vehicles in Canada could also cause an 11% spike in Canadian electricity demand, analysts at Ernst & Young (EY) predict.[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]They say the expected fleet of some 13.2 million electric vehicles on Canadian roads by 2030 would require utilities to make significant investments in existing grid infrastructure.[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]Distribution network upgrades, enabling consumers to charge their cars at home and in public spaces, would improve power transmission across the country, including to rural areas.[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]Canada is the 10th fastest adopter of EVs in the world, with sales growing 165% year-over-year in 2018.[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]“A dramatic increase in electricity demand would likely result in new power and utilities players coming to market,” said Daniela Carcasole, EY Canada Power & Utilities Leader. “This could open up a number of collaboration opportunities for existing companies — either through M&A or joint ventures with hotels, restaurants, technology companies and retail stores to offer easy and convenient vehicle charging to consumers.”[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]Availability of charging infrastructure, price premiums, battery performance, subsidies and time to complete the charge remain key barriers deterring Canadians from purchasing an EV. But even a moderate adoption scenario — with 6.5 million EVs on Canadian roads by 2030 — would require a 5.5% increase in electricity demand.[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]“Growing electric vehicle adoption is inevitable,” said Carcasole. “By proactively developing strategic plans that position them strongly for the future, companies can avoid analysis paralysis and turn the challenges of this market inflection point into a significant opportunity.”[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]The EY research is detailed in a new report: Canadian Electric Vehicle Transition: The Difference Between Evolution and Revolution.[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]“Electric vehicles have the potential to profoundly reshape everything from local transit to global commerce, and Canada’s energy players are not going to be immune from this impact,” said Lance Mortlock, EY Canada Oil & Gas Leader. “Companies should be asking themselves not only how quickly EV adoption will unfold, but also whether they’re taking the right strategic steps to prepare for this momentous shift. Now is the time to invest in future-proofing.”[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]EY research finds that rapid EV adoption would reduce domestic oil consumption by roughly 252k barrels per day and could trigger convergence of O&G and P&U companies in the marketplace.[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]“Diversifying portfolios will be crucial for oil and gas companies in a rapid-adoption future,” said Mortlock. “To stay relevant and ensure profitable revenue streams, they’ll need to invest more in clean energy, petrochemical products and access to tidewater to enter new markets.”[/FONT]
 

acesup800

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We'll have rolling blackouts, just like California.....
 

retiredpop

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I can see electricity prices going sky high to pay for infrastructure.
 

jpmez69

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I can see electricity prices going sky high to pay for infrastructure.

For our convertional electricity producers to expand in Alberta maybe. For natual gas producers this is the golden egg. Cheap endless supply of natural gas. Running scalable gas turbines or Recip engines in power generation. Easy to build and place. It would be easy to have one location make 2-8 MW's
 
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Bnorth

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For our convertional electricity producers to expand in Alberta maybe. For natual gas producers this is the golden egg. Cheap endless supply of natural gas. Running scalable gas turbines or Recip engines in power generation. Easy to build and place. It would be easy to have one location make 2 MW's
too bad NG isn't clean enough for our Federal govt.
 

Cdnfireman

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What kills me in that article is the assumption that stores,restaurants etc would want to go into a “ joint venture “ so that customers would have a place to recharge their cars. Imagine a business already having thin margins of profitability being expected to pony up for the costs of a recharging station. Talk about a bunch of people with an inflated sense of entitlement! It’s like me saying to a business owner “ give me a gasoline voucher for Esso or I won’t do business here”. What a bunch of crap.
And as for recharging your car with a rooftop solar array.....better have a big roof!!
 

freeflorider

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Not to worried, I’m thinking the whole thing will tank anyway. At the rate our government is killing off the work force there will be no one with any back bone or ability to work to build the infrastructure needed. All us old timers will be sitting on our porch with a oil burning light watching our beloved snowflakes trying to figure out How to plug there cars into a current bush.
someone still has to build it right.
 

ABMax24

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According to this report the average electrical load in Alberta increased 13% from 2009 to 2018, yet my lights still come on every time I flip the switch....

If I were walking out of high school today I'd be headed to the electrical or electrical utilities for work instead of oil and gas. That industry appears to have far more potential for growth over the next 20 years.


https://www.aeso.ca/download/listedfiles/2018-Annual-Market-Stats-WEB-FINAL.pdf
 

ferniesnow

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What kills me in that article is the assumption that stores,restaurants etc would want to go into a “ joint venture “ so that customers would have a place to recharge their cars. Imagine a business already having thin margins of profitability being expected to pony up for the costs of a recharging station. Talk about a bunch of people with an inflated sense of entitlement! It’s like me saying to a business owner “ give me a gasoline voucher for Esso or I won’t do business here”. What a bunch of crap.
And as for recharging your car with a rooftop solar array.....better have a big roof!!

When we were house hunting this past summer, we spent a night at the BW in Sicamous. There was an EV plugged in just outside the office in one of the guest plug-ins. I asked the host if they had a hook up for credit cards so that the person could pay. The response was along this line..........."well no, the hotel pays for that!"

Yes, it is a bunch of crap!!!
 

moyiesledhead

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When we were house hunting this past summer, we spent a night at the BW in Sicamous. There was an EV plugged in just outside the office in one of the guest plug-ins. I asked the host if they had a hook up for credit cards so that the person could pay. The response was along this line..........."well no, the hotel pays for that!"

Yes, it is a bunch of crap!!!

They'll change their tune when they get a parking lot full of those things charging for free.
 

Mike270412

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Suncor is way ahead of this game.
For our convertional electricity producers to expand in Alberta maybe. For natual gas producers this is the golden egg. Cheap endless supply of natural gas. Running scalable gas turbines or Recip engines in power generation. Easy to build and place. It would be easy to have one location make 2-8 MW's
 

j335

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I can see electricity prices going sky high to pay for infrastructure.

Already is sky high except that the NDP made the 6.8 cent/kw cap so they’ve been disguising the costs... which now the UCP have removed so look like the bad guys. Hopefully everyone is locked into a fixed contract for a long time!

Also that article is misleading, electrical car sales are decreasing since the government slashed their subsidies in June.People don’t want electric cars without government support yet SUV sales keep breaking records.

https://www.arcenergyinstitute.com/snapchart-slowing-growth-in-electric-car-sales/
 

ABMax24

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What kills me in that article is the assumption that stores,restaurants etc would want to go into a “ joint venture “ so that customers would have a place to recharge their cars. Imagine a business already having thin margins of profitability being expected to pony up for the costs of a recharging station. Talk about a bunch of people with an inflated sense of entitlement! It’s like me saying to a business owner “ give me a gasoline voucher for Esso or I won’t do business here”. What a bunch of crap.
And as for recharging your car with a rooftop solar array.....better have a big roof!!

When we were house hunting this past summer, we spent a night at the BW in Sicamous. There was an EV plugged in just outside the office in one of the guest plug-ins. I asked the host if they had a hook up for credit cards so that the person could pay. The response was along this line..........."well no, the hotel pays for that!"

Yes, it is a bunch of crap!!!

Now if you pulled up to that hotel in the middle of winter and plugged in the block heater of a big diesel truck would you expect to pay for that power? Or should it be free?

How about the continental breakfast, should you pay for it just because someone else chooses not to eat it?

Honestly it's part of doing business if that's the type of clientele that business wants to attract. If you can't afford to pay for it as a business owner but your competition can then that's too bad. That's how competition works. As a customer if you don't like that they provide free electricity to electric cars then feel free to spend your money elsewhere, that is your choice.
 

jhurkot

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Already is sky high except that the NDP made the 6.8 cent/kw cap so they’ve been disguising the costs... which now the UCP have removed so look like the bad guys. Hopefully everyone is locked into a fixed contract for a long time!

Also that article is misleading, electrical car sales are decreasing since the government slashed their subsidies in June.People don’t want electric cars without government support yet SUV sales keep breaking records.

https://www.arcenergyinstitute.com/snapchart-slowing-growth-in-electric-car-sales/

ICE vehicles are getting more expensive every year while electric vehicles are getting cheaper every year. How long can that trend continue?
 
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